The fabric underlying the industry is set to be upended in the coming years as new clients enter the space and the existing, bank dominated, distribution model begins to face challenges as clients look for new, and cheaper, ways of buying products.
Growth in the LatAm AWM industry has been strong in recent years, with assets growing at a 13% CAGR post Global financial crisis. Despite global economic uncertainties, as well as rising political and trade tensions, we believe that short-term effects will be shrugged off post 2020 and assets (in US dollars) will rise by 2025. In fact, we predict a 12.3% CAGR between 2020 and 2025, with assets reaching above the US$5 trillion mark.
Figure 1: Evolution of AuM (in US$ billion)
Source: PwC Global AWM Research Centre, National Regulators, Lipper, IMF, FSB, ANBIMA
*Note: percentage values within red squares respond to the CAGR for each respective period when fixing the constant US$ exchange rate at 2007.
Institutional investors, namely pension funds and insurance companies, will be the main drivers of asset growth - especially as the rising middle class begins to save for retirement. Additionally, as the younger generation comes into a massive wealth transfer globally, we expect to see ETFs becoming more popular and commonplace.
Figure 2: LatAm Client Assets (in US$ billion)
Source: PwC Global AWM Research Centre analysis. Past data based on Lipper, Brazilian Financial and Capital Markets Association (ANBIMA), Cámara Argentina de Fondos Comunes de Inversión (CAFCI), Mexican Venture Capital and Private Equity Association (AMEXCAP), Asociación Colombiana de Fondos de Capital Privado (ColCapital), Asociación Chilena Administradoras de Fondos de Inversión (ACAFI), IMF, ICI, Asociación Internacional de Organismos de Supervisión de Fondos de Pensiones (AIOS), Superintendencia de Banca de Perú (SBS), Financial Stability Board (FSB).
In this report we expand on the four trends we identified in our Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change report, with a specific focus on Latin America. By 2025, we believe that these trends will be the drivers of change in the LatAm AWM industry.
Olwyn Alexander
Global Asset & Wealth Management Leader
Partner, PwC Ireland
olwyn.m.alexander@pwc.com
+353 0 1 792 8719
Moisés Pérez Peñaloza
Pensions & Wealth Management Leader
Partner, PwC Mexico
moises.perez@pwc.com
+52 55 5263 6659
Caio Arantes
Asset & Wealth Management Leader
Partner, PwC Brazil
caio.arantes@pwc.com
+55 11 3674 2570
Gustavo Villafana
Asset & Wealth Management Leader
Partner, PwC Peru
gustavo.villafana@pwc.com
+51 1 211 6500
Borja Claro
Director of Institutional Distribution,
SURA Investment Management
borja.claro@sura.cl
Dariush Yazdani
Global Asset & Wealth Management Research
Centre Leader, Partner, PwC Luxembourg
dariush.yazdani@pwc.com
+352 49 49 48 2191
Fanny Sergent
Asset & Wealth Management Assurance
Partner, PwC Luxembourg
fanny.sergent@pwc.com
+352 49 49 48 2478
Francisco Selame
Asset & Wealth Management Leader
Partner, PwC Chile
francisco.selame@pwc.com
+56 2 2940 0000
Gonzalo Falcone
Head of Global Distribution
SURA Investment Management
gonzalo.falcone@sura.cl